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Carbon

 

 

on a carbon dioxide equivalent basis)3. Despite this comparatively low figure, the potential impact of smog on human health indicates that efforts will continue to be made to reduce emissions of oxides of nitrogen from all sources.

Table 3

 

Greenhouse Gas Emission Estimates in Canada by Sector

(all fuels and CFCs) 1990 and 1995

Emissions (Kt CO2 Equivalent)

 

Energy Emissions

Fossil fuels (coal, oil products, natural gas) are major contributors to anthropogenic greenhouse gases and emissions of oxides of nitrogen which contribute to smog. Greenhouse gases and oxides of nitrogen occur in varying amounts during natural gas product tion, processing, transmission, distribution, and consumption. While the upstream oil and gas industry forms a relatively homogenous and geographically convenient focus for efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, it should be noted that:

 

· Energy, in whatever firm, is demand-driven. It is only produced when there are customers who want it.

 

· Two-thirds of greenhouse gas emissions auributable to natural gas occur during combustion, at the burner tip.

Fossil fuels will remain in use in Canada well into the next century:

Demand is continuing to grow, and reserves are plentiful. The

Western Canada Sedimentary Basin, for example, is currently the

largest reservoir in North America for natural gas.

Other less polluting energy forms, such as renewables, are lacking infrastructure and not currently economically competitive on a large scale, and, in the case of nuclear power, also face strong public resistance. Most large-scale hydro-electricity sites across Canada have been exploited, and small-scale hydro is restrained by initial capital cost and the current over-supply of electricity generating capacity. Nevertheless, many alternate frrms of energy show promise and they may capture niches in the continually growing demand for energy.

With the continuing growth in demand for natural gas, its share of the Canadian energy mix will continue to increase. Consequently, emissions attributable to natural gas will likely continue to increase in absolute quantities although the increase in emissions will be smaller than if more carbon-intensive fuels were used to meet demand.

Offsetting the growth in use of natural gas to meet future energy demand will be new technology using higher efficiency equipment. As has been reported in the US, methane emissions from the anticipated increase in natural gas usage will decrease significantly, on a unit of energy basis in comparison to current amounts, because of continually improving equipment and under-capacity of existing low-emission equipment. For example, the increased utilization of low NOx turbines will reduce these emissions from the transmission sector of the industry (currently 15% of the natural gas NOx total). Similarly, low NOx boilers for steam and process heat will reduce this major source (20% of total) of end use NOx emissions. Installation of improved equipment and facilities occurs with due regard to capital stock turnover in order to justify the economics of new high-efficiency equipment.

Table 3 provides estimates of greenhouse gas emissions in Canada by sectors. It indicates that mobile sources (predominantly from oil products) and power generation (predominantly from coal) are the largest producers of GHGs.

Tables 4 and 5 on page 4 show the results of the most recent surveys commissioned by CGA. These were carried out during 1996 and 1997 by Marbek for end use and by Radian through Gas Technology Canada for the natural gas industry. For comparison, at the bottom of each table are figures used by Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) in its April 1997 report: Canada’s Energy Outlook 1996—2020.

1990 1995 %of 1995
total

SOURCE    
INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES    
Natural Gas Distribution 2,200

3,200

0.5
Upstream Oil and Gas 31,600
Cement/Lime Production 7,720

43,600
7,350

7.0
1.2
Undifferentiated Industrial    
Processes 23,100

25,700

4.2
Coal Mining 1,900
Chemical Production 11,000

1,700
12,000

0.3
1.9
Subtotal 78,000

93,400

15.1
FUEL COMBUSTION - STATIONARY    
Power Generation 94,800
Industrial 75,700
Pulp and Paper and Sawmills 11,500
Iron and Steel 14,100
Other Smelting and Refining 3,470
Cement 3,790
103,000
77,400
10,200
15,000
2,790
3,690
16.6
12.5
1.6
2.4
0.5
0.6
Petroleum Refining 3,290
Chemicals 7,830

2,070
7,580

0.3
1.2
Commercial 24,100
Residential 40,800
Agriculture 2,480
Public Administration 2,060

27,200
42,000
2,580
2,780

4.4
6.8
0.4
0.4
Steam Generation 379 656 0.1
Producer Consumption 40,300
Other 6,850

44,000
11,800

7.1
1.9
Firewood (Residential) 760
Fuel Wood (Industrial) 372
Subtotal 289,000

700
489
313,000

0.1
0.1
50.1
FUEL COMBUSTION - MOBILE    
Automobiles 56,100
Light-Duty Gasoline Ttucks 23,000
Heavy-Duty Gasoline Trucks 2,370
Motorcycles 179
Off-Road Gasoline 5,380
Light Duty Diesel Automobiles 839
Light-Duty Diesel Trucks 952
Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles 24,300
Off-Road Diesel 11,500
62,000
26,900
2,050
187
3,960
898
1,090
29,900
13,900
10.0
4.3
0.3
0.0
0.6
0.2
0.2
4.8
2.2
Air 10,600

10,800

1.7
Rail 6,610

5,980

1.0
Marine 5,990
Other 1,680
Subtotal 149,000
5,600
2,360
165,000
0.9
0.4
26.7
INCINERATION    
Municipal Solid Waste 749
Subtotal 749
796
796
0.1
0.1
AGRICULTURE    
Livestock/Manure 19,000

21,000

3.4
Fertilizer Use 3,300
Soils (Net Source) 7,090
Subtotal 29,400

4,100
2,480
27,600

0.7
0.4
4.5
MISCELLANEOUS    
Prescribed Burning 1,160
Wasrewarer/Compost 361
Landfills 17,000
Anaesthetics/Propellants 420
HFCs in Refrigeration/AC/Foam 0
Subtotal 18,800

400
411
18,000
470
500
20,100

0.1
0.1
2.9
0.1
0.1
3.2
NATIONAL TOTALS 567,000 619,000 100.0

Source: Government of Canada - 2nd National Report 1997 to Secrerariat,

UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, July 1997

Totals do nor include carbon dioxide from the combustion of Biomass.

Note: Due to rounding, individual values may nor add up to totals.

Page4

 

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Last modified: January 15, 1999